Inside Our Model Portfolios: The Strategic Blend 60/40
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Weekly commentary on markets, the economy, and investor behavior. Principle-based, not prediction-based. Published on Substack.
Anchor Pieces
Three foundational pieces that capture how I think about markets, forecasting, and the long-term investor’s job. Hand-picked, not chronological.
Long-Term Perspective
May 11, 2026 · 9 min read
Free
What 97 years of S&P 500 history tell us about the next 30. The case for time in the market over timing it — with the math.
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The Investor’s Advocate
April 21, 2026 · 8 min read
Free
How Wall Street keeps missing the rallies that follow the scare — and why pessimism almost always sounds smarter than it pays.
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Model Portfolios
April 14, 2026 · 11 min read
Paid
Five principle-based strategies for every type of self-directed investor — from conservative income to aggressive growth.
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How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Prediction markets are pricing the midterms. The stock market has its own odds: it rose in 72 of the last…
The federal debt is growing faster than the economy that supports it. Here is what it means for your portfolio.
The AI boom's most leveraged companies carry heavy debt against fixed-price contracts. A lesson from the last bubble on why…
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Earnings are the magnet that has pulled stock prices higher over the long term.
The most respected pollster in Iowa missed by 16 points. After 40 years in markets, I've stopped expecting forecasts to…
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Principle-based investing for long-term investors: Quick links to our Substack articles. Our fund research reports, model portfolios and more are…
Eleven times since 1928 the 10-year yield rose a point or more in a year. Where it started decided how…
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
The Bond Market Paid for September
October 26, 2026
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Read on Substack →October 22, 2026
The federal debt is growing faster than the economy that supports it. Here is what it means for your portfolio.
Read on Substack →October 19, 2026
The AI boom's most leveraged companies carry heavy debt against fixed-price contracts. A lesson from the last bubble on why a technology can win while its stocks lose.
Read on Substack →October 19, 2026
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Read on Substack →October 15, 2026
Earnings are the magnet that has pulled stock prices higher over the long term.
Read on Substack →October 12, 2026
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Read on Substack →October 9, 2026
100 articles from the newsletter on markets, investing principles, private markets and AI. Fund research reports, model portfolios and Investment Academy are at InvestmentInsights.com
Read on Substack →October 8, 2026
Eleven times since 1928 the 10-year yield rose a point or more in a year. Where it started decided how much it hurt, and a good bond manager keeps both…
Read on Substack →October 5, 2026
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
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