Weekly commentary on markets, the economy, and investor behavior. Principle-based, not prediction-based. Published on Substack.
Anchor Pieces
Three foundational pieces that capture how I think about markets, forecasting, and the long-term investor’s job. Hand-picked, not chronological.
Long-Term Perspective
May 11, 2026 · 9 min read
Free
What 97 years of S&P 500 history tell us about the next 30. The case for time in the market over timing it — with the math.
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The Investor’s Advocate
April 21, 2026 · 8 min read
Free
How Wall Street keeps missing the rallies that follow the scare — and why pessimism almost always sounds smarter than it pays.
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Model Portfolios
April 14, 2026 · 11 min read
Paid
Five principle-based strategies for every type of self-directed investor — from conservative income to aggressive growth.
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Principle-based investing for long-term investors: Quick links to our Substack articles. Our fund research reports, model portfolios and more are…
Eleven times since 1928 the 10-year yield rose a point or more in a year. Where it started decided how…
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
The Bond Market Paid for September
A quarterly look inside the funds that meet our high standards. For research and education, not a shopping list.
Amateurs listen to stories. Professionals follow the evidence.
It's all around you. You just have to look.
The market is rewarding big swings — for now.
The last time everyone rushed into gold, it went nowhere for twenty years.
What forty years of tightening cycles say about stocks, bonds, and the portfolio you already own.
The Answer the Bond Market Was Waiting For
Ten questions no one can answer - and five that actually matter
October 9, 2026
100 articles from the newsletter on markets, investing principles, private markets and AI. Fund research reports, model portfolios and Investment Academy are at InvestmentInsights.com
Read on Substack →October 8, 2026
Eleven times since 1928 the 10-year yield rose a point or more in a year. Where it started decided how much it hurt, and a good bond manager keeps both…
Read on Substack →October 5, 2026
How the portfolio is built, and how it held up in Q3 2026
Read on Substack →October 1, 2026
The Bond Market Paid for September
Read on Substack →September 28, 2026
A quarterly look inside the funds that meet our high standards. For research and education, not a shopping list.
Read on Substack →September 28, 2026
Amateurs listen to stories. Professionals follow the evidence.
Read on Substack →September 28, 2026
It's all around you. You just have to look.
Read on Substack →September 21, 2026
The market is rewarding big swings — for now.
Read on Substack →September 8, 2026
What forty years of tightening cycles say about stocks, bonds, and the portfolio you already own.
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